How You Know Obama Will Win

Browsing around the Iowa Electronic Markets tonight I came across this graph. What's remarkable about this graph is that not once in the last 2+ years have the markets thought that a Republican would win the White House. The GOP got a nice post-convention bounce, but they never surpassed the Democrats. And since then things have been trending badly for them. In fact, it's the worst it's looked for the GOP in over a year.

In order to win the White House McCain-Palin would have to reverse that trend in five weeks. That's like righting the Titanic and then, for fun, turning around and doing it again. Not gonna happen. So buy your Obama stock.

Thursday, October 2, 2008