Obama Ahead in OH?

According to the new Quinnipiac poll released this morning Obama leads McCain 49-44 in Ohio. What's even more surprising is that Obama's lead among women in the state has increased since 8/26 (albeit by 1 percentage point).

But there are a few reasons for concern:

McCain now leads among Independents (47-43);

28% of former Clinton supporters now back McCain, up 5%.

The reason Obama is up in the state is that there are significantly more people who identify as Democrats than as Republicans.

Thursday, September 11, 2008