Nate Silver now has Obama winning the election 74.7% of the time. He's made big gains across the board over the last week and McCain is slipping, to say the least.
McCain has very serious problems in Virginia, and extremely serious problems in Michigan, which is starting to drift off the swing state list. And forget about the Pacific Northwest. But at this stage, the electoral math is starting to diminish in importance; McCain needs to make gains everywhere, which means he needs a clutch performance in tonight's debate.
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